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Denis Shapovalov vs Pablo Carreno Busta Head to Head Tennis Stats and Match Analysis

Denis Shapovalov seasons:20262025202420232022
Pablo Carreno Busta seasons:20262025202420232022
🇨🇦 Denis Shapovalov
🇪🇸 Pablo Carreno Busta
#41
1,130pts
Age: 27y 64d (1999-04-15)
Hand: L
Backhand: 1H
834pts
#70
(1991-07-12) Age: 34y 341d
Hand: R
Backhand: 2H
2 - 6
Wins: 25.0% - 75.0%
Hard 1–6Clay 1–0Grass 0–0
Slam 0–2Masters 1000 1–1250 0–1500 0–2Others 1–0
LLWLL
WWLWW

Match Prediction

FavoriteUnderdog
62.9%37.1%
-169+137

H2H Preview

🇨🇦Denis Shapovalov and 🇪🇸Pablo Carreno Busta have met 8 times. Pablo Carreno Busta currently holds the upper hand, leading the series 6–2.

Looking at their individual career profiles, 🇨🇦Denis Shapovalov has compiled an overall career record of 242–206 across 448 matches, translating to a win rate of 54.02%. On hard courts his record stands at 181–137 (56.92%), while on clay he holds a 40–43 (48.19%) mark. On grass the numbers read 21–26 (44.68%) . Throughout his career he has won 4 titles (4 hard). Against Top 10 opponents his record reads 14–40 (25.93%).

🇪🇸Pablo Carreno Busta, on the other hand, enters this matchup with a career mark of 290–243 from 533 matches (54.41% win rate). His hard-court record is 164–132 (55.41%), on clay he stands at 120–97 (55.30%), and on grass he has gone 6–14 (30.00%) . He has accumulated 7 titles in total (4 hard, 3 clay). Against Top 10 opponents his record stands at 10–45 (18.18%).

When it comes to their head-to-head meetings, the surface breakdown reveals this contrast. On hard courts they have met 7 times, with Pablo Carreno Busta leading 6–1 (85.71%). The clay record between them sits at 1–0 (100.00% for Denis Shapovalov) across 1 matches.

Dateâ–¼
Tourney
Surface
Round
Wrk
Winner
Lrk
Loser
Score
BoF
Min
WA
WDF
W1stIn
W1st%
W2nd%
BPSvd
2026-02-24DubaiHardR32124🇪🇸Pablo Carreno Busta36🇨🇦Denis Shapovalov6-2 6-43770269.2%62.2%60.0%7/9
2022-10-31Paris MastersHardR3214🇪🇸Pablo Carreno Busta (14)16🇨🇦Denis Shapovalov7-6(2) 2-6 6-431343259.3%75.0%69.7%2/5
2022-01-03ATP CupHardF14🇨🇦Denis Shapovalov20🇪🇸Pablo Carreno Busta6-4 6-33987262.8%69.4%55.2%8/9
2020-08-31US OpenHardQF27🇪🇸Pablo Carreno Busta (20)17🇨🇦Denis Shapovalov (12)3-6 7-6(5) 7-6(4) 0-6 6-352485170.8%67.6%54.8%8/16
2019-10-21ViennaHardR3234🇪🇸Pablo Carreno Busta27🇨🇦Denis Shapovalov6-3 7-53721184.9%86.7%62.5%0/0
2019-09-23ChengduHardSF63🇪🇸Pablo Carreno Busta34🇨🇦Denis Shapovalov (8)6-3 6-43632167.3%78.4%72.2%2/2
2019-05-13Rome MastersClayR6422🇨🇦Denis Shapovalov43🇪🇸Pablo Carreno Busta6-3 7-6(5)3954165.7%69.6%75.0%0/0
2017-08-28US OpenHardR1619🇪🇸Pablo Carreno Busta (12)69🇨🇦Denis Shapovalov7-6(2) 7-6(4) 7-6(3)51741462.4%68.7%60.0%10/13

Wins

Denis Shapovalov
Pablo Carreno Busta
2–6Overall
0–2Grand Slam
1–1Masters 1000
0–2ATP 500
0–1ATP 250
1–0Others
1–6Hard
1–0Clay

Sets Format

33.3%2
66.7%4
Bo3
0.0%0
100.0%2
Bo5
40.0%2
60.0%3
2 Sets
0.0%0
100.0%2
3 Sets
0.0%0
0.0%0
4 Sets
0.0%0
100.0%1
5 Sets
Denis Shapovalov
Pablo Carreno Busta

Deciding

0.0%0
100.0%2
Decider Set
25.0%1
75.0%3
Tiebreak Wins
0.0%0
100.0%1
After 3 hours
Denis Shapovalov
Pablo Carreno Busta

Sets

33.3%7
66.7%14
All
25.0%2
75.0%6
Grand Slam
60.0%3
40.0%2
Masters 1000
26.3%5
73.7%14
Hard
0.0%0
0.0%0
Grass
100.0%2
0.0%0
Clay
0.0%0
0.0%0
Carpet
Denis Shapovalov
Pablo Carreno Busta

Games

48.9%107
51.1%112
All
50.6%45
49.4%44
Grand Slam
54.7%29
45.3%24
Masters 1000
47.7%94
52.3%103
Hard
0.0%0
0.0%0
Grass
59.1%13
40.9%9
Clay
0.0%0
0.0%0
Carpet
Denis Shapovalov
Pablo Carreno Busta

Overview

By Surface

Denis Shapovalov
Pablo Carreno Busta

By Tournament Level

Denis Shapovalov
Pablo Carreno Busta

By Round

Denis Shapovalov
Pablo Carreno Busta

By Opponent Ranking

Denis ShapovalovPablo Carreno Busta
0%0-10
vs Top 1
20%1-4
14.7%5-29
vs Top 5
9.7%3-28
25.9%14-40
vs Top 10
18.2%10-45
34%33-64
vs Top 20
29.7%33-78
50.1%184-183
vs Top 100
49%210-219
71.6%58-23
vs +100
76.9%80-24
41.3%66-94
vs Higher
35.8%76-136
61.1%176-112
vs Lower
66.7%214-107

Opponent Breakdown

Denis ShapovalovPablo Carreno Busta
50%42-42
Vs Younger
55.1%129-105
54.9%200-164
Vs Older
53.8%161-138
54.9%217-178
Vs Right-Handed
53.4%238-208
47.2%25-28
Vs Left-Handed
59.8%52-35
53%212-188
Vs 2H Backhand
56.1%252-197
63.8%30-17
Vs 1H Backhand
45.2%38-46
62.6%82-49
Vs Shorter
59%157-109
50.8%135-131
Vs Taller
45.9%85-100

Pressure Situations