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Alex de Minaur vs Rafael Nadal Head to Head Tennis Stats and Match Analysis

Alex de Minaur seasons:20262025202420232022
Rafael Nadal seasons:20242023202220212020
🇦🇺 Alex de Minaur
🇪🇸 Rafael Nadal
#6
4,185pts
Age: 27y 30d (1999-02-17)
Hand: R
Backhand: 2H
(1986-06-03) Age: 39y 289d
Hand: L
Backhand: 2H
2 - 4
Wins: 33.3% - 66.7%
Hard 1–2Clay 1–1Grass 0–1
Slam 02Others 11500 10Masters 1000 01
LLWWL
WWLLW

Match Prediction

FavoriteUnderdog
90.7%9.3%
-976+600

H2H Preview

🇦🇺Alex de Minaur and 🇪🇸Rafael Nadal have met 6 times. Rafael Nadal currently holds the upper hand, leading the series 42.

Looking at their individual career profiles, 🇦🇺Alex de Minaur has compiled an overall career record of 317183 across 500 matches, translating to a win rate of 63.40%. On hard courts his record stands at 243127 (65.68%), while on clay he holds a 3937 (51.32%) mark. On grass the numbers read 3519 (64.81%) . Throughout his career he has won 11 titles (9 hard, 2 grass). Against Top 10 opponents his record reads 2262 (26.19%).

🇪🇸Rafael Nadal, on the other hand, enters this matchup with a career mark of 1080228 from 1308 matches (82.57% win rate). His hard-court record is 518151 (77.43%), on clay he stands at 48451 (90.47%), and on grass he has gone 7620 (79.17%) , with a carpet record of 26 (25.00%). He has accumulated 92 titles in total (25 hard, 63 clay, 4 grass). Against Top 10 opponents his record stands at 186105 (63.92%).

When it comes to their head-to-head meetings, the surface breakdown reveals this contrast. On hard courts they have met 3 times, with Rafael Nadal leading 21 (66.67%). The clay record between them sits at 11 (50.00% each) across 2 matches. On grass, their 1 encounter has yielded a record of 10 (100.00% for Rafael Nadal).

Date
Tourney
Surface
Round
Wrk
Winner
Lrk
Loser
Score
BoF
Min
WA
WDF
W1stIn
W1st%
W2nd%
BPSvd
2024-04-22Madrid MastersClayR64512🇪🇸Rafael Nadal (PR)11🇦🇺Alex de Minaur (10)7-6(6) 6-331220272.6%71.1%52.9%2/4
2024-04-15BarcelonaClayR3211🇦🇺Alex de Minaur (4)644🇪🇸Rafael Nadal (PR)7-5 6-131122351.9%75.0%65.4%2/3
2023-01-02United CupHardRR24🇦🇺Alex de Minaur (7)2🇪🇸Rafael Nadal (4)3-6 6-1 7-531623662.0%62.9%50.0%8/12
2020-01-03ATP CupHardRR1🇪🇸Rafael Nadal18🇦🇺Alex de Minaur4-6 7-5 6-131335372.6%78.7%43.5%1/3
2019-01-14Australian OpenHardR322🇪🇸Rafael Nadal (2)29🇦🇺Alex de Minaur (27)6-1 6-2 6-451426674.7%81.5%36.4%4/4
2018-07-02WimbledonGrassR321🇪🇸Rafael Nadal (2)80🇦🇺Alex de Minaur6-1 6-2 6-451225157.9%77.3%71.9%3/3

Wins

Alex de Minaur
Rafael Nadal
24Overall
02Grand Slam
01Masters 1000
10ATP 500
11Others
12Hard
11Clay
01Grass

Sets Format

50.0%2
50.0%2
Bo3
0.0%0
100.0%2
Bo5
50.0%1
50.0%1
2 Sets
25.0%1
75.0%3
3 Sets
0.0%0
0.0%0
4 Sets
0.0%0
0.0%0
5 Sets
Alex de Minaur
Rafael Nadal

Deciding

50.0%1
50.0%1
Decider Set
0.0%0
100.0%1
Tiebreak Wins
0.0%0
0.0%0
After 3 hours
Alex de Minaur
Rafael Nadal

Sets

31.3%5
68.8%11
All
0.0%0
100.0%6
Grand Slam
0.0%0
100.0%2
Masters 1000
33.3%3
66.7%6
Hard
0.0%0
100.0%3
Grass
50.0%2
50.0%2
Clay
0.0%0
0.0%0
Carpet
Alex de Minaur
Rafael Nadal

Games

43.2%64
56.8%84
All
28.0%14
72.0%36
Grand Slam
40.9%9
59.1%13
Masters 1000
42.7%35
57.3%47
Hard
28.0%7
72.0%18
Grass
53.7%22
46.3%19
Clay
0.0%0
0.0%0
Carpet
Alex de Minaur
Rafael Nadal

Overview

By Surface

Alex de Minaur
Rafael Nadal

By Tournament Level

Alex de Minaur
Rafael Nadal

By Round

Alex de Minaur
Rafael Nadal

By Opponent Ranking

Alex de MinaurRafael Nadal
11.1%1-8
vs Top 1
54.8%23-19
15.7%8-43
vs Top 5
59.6%93-63
26.2%22-62
vs Top 10
63.9%186-105
37.3%50-84
vs Top 20
70.4%335-141
61.2%263-167
vs Top 100
81.4%927-212
76.8%53-16
vs +100
90.5%153-16
40%56-84
vs Higher
55%71-58
72.4%260-99
vs Lower
85.6%1009-170

Opponent Breakdown

Alex de MinaurRafael Nadal
61.3%76-48
Vs Younger
81.9%470-104
64.1%241-135
Vs Older
83.1%610-124
63.5%280-161
Vs Right-Handed
82%963-211
62.7%37-22
Vs Left-Handed
87.3%117-17
65.4%287-152
Vs 2H Backhand
82.5%765-162
49.2%30-31
Vs 1H Backhand
82.7%315-66
71.4%50-20
Vs Shorter
86.5%447-70
59.3%214-147
Vs Taller
80.5%498-121

Pressure Situations