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Alex de Minaur vs Rafael Nadal Head to Head Tennis Stats and Match Analysis

Alex de Minaur seasons:20262025202420232022
Rafael Nadal seasons:20242023202220212020
🇦🇺 Alex de Minaur
🇪🇸 Rafael Nadal
#6
4,060pts
Age: 27y 121d (1999-02-17)
Hand: R
Backhand: 2H
(1986-06-03) Age: 40y 15d
Hand: L
Backhand: 2H
2 - 4
Wins: 33.3% - 66.7%
Hard 1–2Clay 1–1Grass 0–1
Slam 0–2Others 1–1500 1–0Masters 1000 0–1
LLWWL
WWLLW

Match Prediction

FavoriteUnderdog
90.7%9.3%
-975+599

H2H Preview

🇦🇺Alex de Minaur and 🇪🇸Rafael Nadal have met 6 times. Rafael Nadal currently holds the upper hand, leading the series 4–2.

Looking at their individual career profiles, 🇦🇺Alex de Minaur has compiled an overall career record of 330–191 across 521 matches, translating to a win rate of 63.34%. On hard courts his record stands at 243–128 (65.50%), while on clay he holds a 46–43 (51.69%) mark. On grass the numbers read 41–20 (67.21%) . Throughout his career he has won 11 titles (9 hard, 2 grass). Against Top 10 opponents his record reads 22–62 (26.19%).

🇪🇸Rafael Nadal, on the other hand, enters this matchup with a career mark of 1080–228 from 1308 matches (82.57% win rate). His hard-court record is 518–151 (77.43%), on clay he stands at 484–51 (90.47%), and on grass he has gone 76–20 (79.17%) , with a carpet record of 2–6 (25.00%). He has accumulated 92 titles in total (25 hard, 63 clay, 4 grass). Against Top 10 opponents his record stands at 186–105 (63.92%).

When it comes to their head-to-head meetings, the surface breakdown reveals this contrast. On hard courts they have met 3 times, with Rafael Nadal leading 2–1 (66.67%). The clay record between them sits at 1–1 (50.00% each) across 2 matches. On grass, their 1 encounter has yielded a record of 1–0 (100.00% for Rafael Nadal).

Dateâ–¼
Tourney
Surface
Round
Wrk
Winner
Lrk
Loser
Score
BoF
Min
WA
WDF
W1stIn
W1st%
W2nd%
BPSvd
2024-04-22Madrid MastersClayR64512🇪🇸Rafael Nadal (PR)11🇦🇺Alex de Minaur (10)7-6(6) 6-331220272.6%71.1%52.9%2/4
2024-04-15BarcelonaClayR3211🇦🇺Alex de Minaur (4)644🇪🇸Rafael Nadal (PR)7-5 6-131122351.9%75.0%65.4%2/3
2023-01-02United CupHardRR24🇦🇺Alex de Minaur (7)2🇪🇸Rafael Nadal (4)3-6 6-1 7-531623662.0%62.9%50.0%8/12
2020-01-03ATP CupHardRR1🇪🇸Rafael Nadal18🇦🇺Alex de Minaur4-6 7-5 6-131335372.6%78.7%43.5%1/3
2019-01-14Australian OpenHardR322🇪🇸Rafael Nadal (2)29🇦🇺Alex de Minaur (27)6-1 6-2 6-451426674.7%81.5%36.4%4/4
2018-07-02WimbledonGrassR321🇪🇸Rafael Nadal (2)80🇦🇺Alex de Minaur6-1 6-2 6-451225157.9%77.3%71.9%3/3

Wins

Alex de Minaur
Rafael Nadal
2–4Overall
0–2Grand Slam
0–1Masters 1000
1–0ATP 500
1–1Others
1–2Hard
1–1Clay
0–1Grass

Sets Format

50.0%2
50.0%2
Bo3
0.0%0
100.0%2
Bo5
50.0%1
50.0%1
2 Sets
25.0%1
75.0%3
3 Sets
0.0%0
0.0%0
4 Sets
0.0%0
0.0%0
5 Sets
Alex de Minaur
Rafael Nadal

Deciding

50.0%1
50.0%1
Decider Set
0.0%0
100.0%1
Tiebreak Wins
0.0%0
0.0%0
After 3 hours
Alex de Minaur
Rafael Nadal

Sets

31.3%5
68.8%11
All
0.0%0
100.0%6
Grand Slam
0.0%0
100.0%2
Masters 1000
33.3%3
66.7%6
Hard
0.0%0
100.0%3
Grass
50.0%2
50.0%2
Clay
0.0%0
0.0%0
Carpet
Alex de Minaur
Rafael Nadal

Games

43.2%64
56.8%84
All
28.0%14
72.0%36
Grand Slam
40.9%9
59.1%13
Masters 1000
42.7%35
57.3%47
Hard
28.0%7
72.0%18
Grass
53.7%22
46.3%19
Clay
0.0%0
0.0%0
Carpet
Alex de Minaur
Rafael Nadal

Overview

By Surface

Alex de Minaur
Rafael Nadal

By Tournament Level

Alex de Minaur
Rafael Nadal

By Round

Alex de Minaur
Rafael Nadal

By Opponent Ranking

Alex de MinaurRafael Nadal
11.1%1-8
vs Top 1
54.8%23-19
15.7%8-43
vs Top 5
59.6%93-63
26.2%22-62
vs Top 10
63.9%186-105
37.8%51-84
vs Top 20
70.4%335-141
61.1%273-174
vs Top 100
81.4%927-212
76.4%55-17
vs +100
90.5%153-16
40%56-84
vs Higher
55%71-58
71.8%272-107
vs Lower
85.6%1009-170

Opponent Breakdown

Alex de MinaurRafael Nadal
61.2%82-52
Vs Younger
81.9%470-104
63.9%246-139
Vs Older
83.1%610-124
63%288-169
Vs Right-Handed
82%963-211
65.1%41-22
Vs Left-Handed
87.3%117-17
65.2%298-159
Vs 2H Backhand
82.5%765-162
49.2%31-32
Vs 1H Backhand
82.7%315-66
72.2%52-20
Vs Shorter
86.5%447-70
59%222-154
Vs Taller
80.5%498-121

Pressure Situations